I think the PED suspensions could help keep out players like Edelman and Lane Johnson, but it's tough to imagine Peterson not making it. Gates numbers compare very favorably with those of the nine tight ends in the Hall. Lock (100%): DT Aaron Donald. Unfortunately, Houston fans have had to wait through the years to see their stars get inducted. The Hall of Fame Game, like the rest of the preseason, has been canceled during the coronavirus pandemic. AP Photo/Harold Filan. Adams hasn't been able to break through the Julio Joneses of the world to earn a first-team All-Pro spot, which is probably where he needs to get. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. . Will the Dolphins get a veteran QB? All but Gronkowski generated controversial off-field headlines, but the Hall voters only debate what is accomplished on the field. Julio or Hopkins: Who's the better bet to lead in receiving? Vander Esch's chances are stronger than his fellow linebacker because he was a first-round pick and made the Pro Bowl as a rookie, while Smith was a second-round pick and didn't make it until his third campaign. David has been supremely underrated during his career, but after earning a first-team All-Pro nod in 2013, he has made it to a lone Pro Bowl over the ensuing six seasons. Kamara took a step backward last season when he ran into some touchdown regression, but he still did enough to earn his third Pro Bowl appearance in three years. Not all elite prospects turn into Hall-of-Famers, but given Evans draft capital, physical profile and college production, its reasonable to say that what hes done in the NFL hasnt been a random fluke. Just play along. He was a Pro Bowler in 2017 and has 37.5 sacks over his first four pro seasons, but he was overshadowed a bit by Campbell over that time frame. In the running (40% to 69%): RB Saquon Barkley. Giants fans would be happy if Thomas solidified a position that has been a mess since Will Beatty tore his pec in 2015. 260 players who could win MVP Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Adam Thielen, LB Anthony Barr. Watson has earned Pro Bowl nods in each of his first two full seasons as a starter, which is easier for quarterbacks than it is for most other positions. Wagner turned 30 in June, and after eight seasons in the league, he has six Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nominations. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR T.Y. Erica Farber and Bill Siemering, prominent figures in U.S. commercial radio and public radio, respectively, are among eight new members of the Radio Hall of Fame. Football Insiders with Trey Wingo. Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. Byard was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 when he led the league with eight picks, but despite playing at an upper-echelon level over the ensuing two seasons, he hasn't received the same consideration. The superstar edge rusher has made the Pro Bowl every year except 2013, when he was suspended before going down with a torn ACL. I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. Itll be interesting to see if his postseason prowess carries him, as it arguably did Lynn Swann in his eventual election. Is Gore a lock to get into the Hall of Fame? Of the 27 Hall-eligible players who have pulled that off, 14 are enshrined. White got his just due last season and was named a first-team All-Pro while tying for the league lead in interceptions (six). He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else. I believe Evans will be in the NFL Hall of Fame someday, and in this piece I hit on a few of the reasons for my position. Gore is third in career rushing yards, which owes much to the fact that he also ranks third in carries. "Nuk" has been a first-team All-Pro in each of his past three seasons, which is the sort of run that earns skill-position players a trip to Canton on their own. You could also make the argument that Murray should be up a level after being taken with the No. Newton has an MVP award, which goes a long way toward pushing any player into the Hall of Fame. He has a stronger case than you think. Barr made four consecutive Pro Bowls from 2015 to 2018, but it'll be tough for him to get the first-team All-Pro votes he'll need for Canton without racking up significant sack totals. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Chase Young, S Landon Collins. No offensive lineman is ever a lock when guys like Faneca still aren't enshrined, but Smith plays the most prominent position on the line for the most popular team in the league. Ranking the top outlier contracts I would put Gronkowski's chance somewhere around 99%. you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. In the running (40% to 69%): S Jamal Adams. All 259 picks | Every team's class Hightower and McCourty have made only two Pro Bowls each, and while they'll get a bump for their Super Bowl rings, it's tough to imagine them getting in when guys like Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel didn't make it from the first era of Pats Super Bowl winners. It was a good weekend for wide receivers at the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio. Most importantly: This is my opinion of who is likely to get in given current rsums, not who belongs in. From 2000-2003, Randy Moss put up video game numbers: 376 receptions, 5,649 yards and 49 touchdowns. Last season was the first time Peterson missed an NFL game or failed to make the Pro Bowl, with both owing to his six-game PED suspension. Find out more. Beasley won a sack title. Things would be different if he had actually won the MVP award or been the quarterback who ran the Eagles through the playoffs in 2017. The former Philadelphia Eagles great and St. Louis Rams star will become the 28th and 29th wide receivers to be honored with a place in Canton, OH. I haven't included players who I believe have no more than a 10% chance of making it into the Hall. After that, we have players who are Likely to get in, who I estimate have between a 70% and 99% chance of earning induction. 8/16/2011. Lock (100%): TE Jason Witten. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Mike Evans, WR Chris Godwin, LB Lavonte David. As a result, I'll mention them often, especially when looking at players who don't touch the ball frequently. Where does Evans slot in? Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. In related news, the Cowboys also have a running back likely bound for the Hall. Aaron Rodgers has had a lack of weapons on the Green Bay Packers And as much as everyone loves Boldin, he was never dominant enough to keep his former teammate out of Canton. Cliff Branch and Herman Moore are two of the few exceptions, but their performance fell off significantly after their third All-Pro trip and never recovered to their prior level. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. The closest comp is Ken Anderson, who had a similar peak and won an MVP award but didn't last quite as long and hasn't been able to get in. Future Hall of Fame Wide Receiver Gushes Over Giants' Kadarius Toney 123 Shares By Vinny Somma Updated Apr 30, 2021 at 1:11pm Getty Kadarius Toney #1 of the Florida Gators reacts after. Hekker's case is interesting. Locks have a 100% chance of making it. Since there have been only 346 people elected to the Hall of Fame (some of whom aren't even players), we don't always have great measures or estimates for what players at each given position have to do to make it. Assessing Browns' FA needs. The Ring of Honor recognizes Vikings legends for their contributions to the success of the team on and off the field. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Davante Adams, OT David Bakhtiari, LB Za'Darius Smith. Xavien Howard made the Pro Bowl in 2018 and would be the best candidate, but he has missed an average of six games per season across his four pro campaigns. I'm right there in the 50/50 range. Worthy Hall of Fame (HOF) NFL Wide Receivers: The shoo-ins Let's start by running through five obvious cases of overly-qualified receivers who have not yet been enshrined. Archive: Every podcast from Barnwell . will Evans play and how productive will he be? Honestly, the biggest factor holding Evans back right now is his team: The Bucs dont attract a lot of national attention, and they havent been to the postseason since 2007. What happens next is critical for Gurley, who would have seemed on the road to Canton after taking home Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 and adding an Offensive Player of the Year award two years later. He is right on the borderline between the "Work to do" and "In the running" tiers. You could make a case Jones belongs in the Likely category based on his 2017 and 2019 seasons, although I'd argue there's a significant gap between those two campaigns and the rest of his career. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. He just turned 26 in August. Erica Farber. By Paul Mclane . Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Returning to form and earning a seventh Pro Bowl nod in his first season with the Ravens got Thomas back on track. Kuechly played just eight seasons with the Panthers from 2012-19, but they were very good ones, with five first team All-Pro selections, seven Pro Bowls and a spot on the All-2010s team. Elroy "Crazylegs" Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? Wilson hasn't missed a game as a pro, so as long as he plays another five or six seasons and continues to rank among the better quarterbacks in football, he should be fine. Likely (70% to 99%): LB Khalil Mack. Over that five-year span, Landry ranks third in the NFL in catches and seventh in receiving yards. Prescott has made two Pro Bowls over his first four seasons, but his best rsum point is winning Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2016. Work to do (10% to 39%): S Tyrann Mathieu. Texans great Andre Johnson fell short of election to the Hall of Fame again this year in his second time as a modern-era finalist. More on the Ring of Honor found on the team website. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. Everyone but Hill is either a lock or extremely likely to make it in. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Matt Ryan, WR Julio Jones. But as a running back who has been above average or good seemingly forever, he's getting in. While guys like Franco Harris and Champ Bailey managed to make it to the Hall with similar starts to their careers, standouts like Chris Hinton, Ricky Watters and Donovan McNabb have come up short without getting to that next level. In the running (40% to 69%): OT Trent Williams. Bell's case as a scheme- and personnel-transcendent back fell apart in an ugly 2019 season, with the former Steelers playmaker averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. He'll have a better shot once reunited with Kyle Shanahan in San Francisco. Author: Nate Greer. The only exceptions are a pair of interior offensive linemen (Alan Faneca and Steve Wisniewski) and safety John Lynch. The players listed below are the top 250 HOFm-rated players who played WR starting in 1955 or later for at least 50 career games. If he recovers and returns to his 2017-18 form, he still has plenty of time to get back on the Canton track, given that he turned 26 this week. While he has made six Pro Bowls, that's not typically enough for interior linemen to make it into the Hall. Hilton, DE Justin Houston, DT DeForest Buckner, CB Xavier Rhodes. Minnesota Vikings Ring of Honor. The two first-time eligible players who stand out on next years ballot are defensive end Julius Peppers and tight end Antonio Gates. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. He has the third most sacks through his age-25 season of any player since the league made it an official stat in 1982, trailing only Derrick Thomas and J.J. Watt. Its not at all random that hes become a big-time NFL player. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only . Not knowing anything else about Burrow beyond where and when he was drafted, his Hall of Fame chances before starting his career come in by that small sample around 20%. Donald clinched his gold jacket when he won his second Defensive Player of the Year award. Six of the seven men ahead of him are in the Hall, with the exception of Peppers. He was excellent in his third season, but since then, his production has roughly been in line with that of Robby Anderson. Julio Jones (2011-17): 8,076, two-time All-Pro, will be a Hall-of-Famer Jerry Rice (1985-89): 7,370, Hall-of-Famer, greatest receiver of all time Randy Moss (1998-2003): 7,258, Hall-of-Famer Torry Holt (1999-2004): 7,147, most yards through five years in NFL history At the combine, he measured in at 6-foot-5 and 231 pounds and ran an impressive 4.53-second 40-yard dash. Lock (100%): QB Aaron Rodgers. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation Guy got some help because the Raiders drafted him with their first-round pick, while Hekker gets extra attention because of his propensity for fakes. Work to do (10% to 39%): TE Jimmy Graham, CB Kyle Fuller. The Notre Dame product probably needs a second one to have a viable shot at Canton. Randy Moss. The 2010 No. The left tackle has seven Pro Bowls and two All-Pro nods before turning 30. Wait, Joe Burrow? With the onset of COVID, the Pro Football Hall of Fame last year moved its annual board-of-selectors meeting from an in-person session the day before the Super Bowl to a virtual communication . In the running (40% to 69%): QB Deshaun Watson. A big individual season and a few MVP votes in 2020 would be enough to push him into the next category. Reggie Wayne, a Senior Bowl Hall of Famer, prepped Jalen Wayne for what to . He was on the All-2000s team, a three-time first team All-Pro and made eight Pro Bowls. Seymour made it to seven Pro Bowls and three All-Pro teams and hasn't made it to the Hall of Fame, but Thomas was more conspicuous at safety and was a key member of a legendary defense. Even if he slows down from here on out, Miller's going to the Hall. He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. Jimmy Smith's peak was among the best ever. He turned 32 on Friday, and while there could be more left in the tank, he probably needs another Pro Bowl season or two to ensure he makes it. If James gets back there this season, he might even be able to jump into the Likely category. Jaguars won't spend big, but here are five players they could target in free agency, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Raiders tag Josh Jacobs, the NFL's rushing leader. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. Once again, its wait til next year for Texans great Andre Johnson when it comes to the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Of all the young receivers, Moss is the only one to accomplish more through the first five seasons of his career. In the running (40% to 69%): C Maurkice Pouncey, LB T.J. Watt. Jerry Rice and Terrell Owens are two of the greatest players to ever catch a football, ranking first and second, respectively, in receiving yards and receiving touchdowns in NFL history. Kittle is the best all-around tight end in football right now, and if you could tell me this minute that he would have a 12-year career, I'd expect him to be a Hall of Famer. After all, offensive tackle Joe Thomas was elected Thursday on the first ballot despite never playing a playoff game in 11 seasons with the Browns, who were more often than not the NFLs standard for team ineptitude. Likely (60% to 99%): RB Frank Gore. Lattimore has two Pro Bowl appearances in his first three seasons; if you throw out early-career players like Lattimore, Jalen Ramsey and Marcus Peters, eight of the 11 corners to pull that off since the merger are either in the Hall of Fame or going there. Around the NFL Writer. I addressed this in my MVP column in July. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Can Baker Mayfield's game be fixed? If Brown has a Whitworth-esque autumn to his career, he has a shot. All rights reserved. Leonard, with one All-Pro spot and a Pro Bowl appearance last year, is right behind. The 2020 No. If pro football did what hockey used to and waive the waiting period for the likes of Gordie Howe, Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux, it could be argued Brady deserves the same treatment. Unless he turns things around dramatically this season, he would fall out of the "Work to do" category altogether. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Joey Bosa, S Derwin James. Nelson doesn't play a high-profile position, but he's off to a great start. McCaffrey could turn into LaDainian Tomlinson, but what if he's more like Shaun Alexander, who won league MVP at his peak and never really got serious Hall of Fame consideration? This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Lamar Jackson, CB Marcus Peters, K Justin Tucker. And thanks to coach Kelvin Sampson and the assistants he Solomon: DeMeco Ryans the right coach at the right time, 3 pressing questions facing new Astros GM Dana Brown, Jabari Smith Jr. growing up in NBA with an assist from his father, Poor parent behavior is driving high school sports refs away. All seven players who did that and who are eligible for the Hall are in, and the list of ineligible guys includes Hill, Patrick Willis, Joe Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Patrick Peterson, Zack Martin and Aaron Donald. Let's run team-by-team and try to estimate each notable player's chances of making it to the Hall of Fame given his current rsum. In 1996, he decided to play football full-time. His 2016 season was one of the most impressive years we've ever seen from a quarterback, as he dominated during the regular season and won league MVP. Ryan's case is trickier. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Julian Edelman, LB Dont'a Hightower, S Devin McCourty. Edelman's career as a starter really didn't begin until he was 27, so while his case is built on postseason performance, I still don't think he has the regular-season production needed to supplement a case. First, its hard for young guys to adapt to the NFL. Quarterback Drew Brees and wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald are the two prominent ballot newcomers. Jackson and teammate Kyle Fuller both slipped last season, but each earned Pro Bowl nods, and that's going to matter more to voters 15 years from now than how either player actually performed in 2019. Hes too similar to other Hall-of-Famers and future Hall-of-Famers not to be taken seriously. Ingram wasn't very good for extended stretches of time until his fourth season in the league in New Orleans, and while he has made three Pro Bowls since, he hasn't had a top-five season in terms of production or won a Super Bowl. Kelce has been a first-team All-Pro three consecutive times, although he oddly didn't make the Pro Bowl in two of those campaigns. Pictured: Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans (13). To use an example, I don't think Eli Manning has the rsum of a Hall of Fame quarterback, but history tells us that most quarterbacks who win two Super Bowls typically get in. Thomas now has three Pro Bowls and two first-team All-Pro nods in four years, and while there might be some sort of drop-off if Brees retires, the Ohio State product did just fine with Teddy Bridgewater on the field in 2019. If you were asked to name off the top of your head the three best NFL receivers to enter the league at 21, you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. Brees could have retired five years ago and comfortably made the Hall of Fame. Guy earned six Pro Bowl nominations and three All-Pro picks before turning 30. The NFL's 2023 Hall of Fame Game will feature the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets, the Hall announced Tuesday. Collins was a Defensive Player of the Year candidate in 2016 and has three Pro Bowls across his first five seasons. Rent the Hall. Hill's game still relies on speed, so he could be more susceptible to a career shortened by injuries than most other candidates, but if he gets three more seasons with Mahomes, he's probably in. The only wide receiver from Carmichael's era who had more TD catches was Paul Warfield, who had 85. He has made four Pro Bowls and was a first-team All-Pro in 2012, but there are just too many offensive linemen with more impressive rsums who have struggled to get in for Brown to have much of a chance. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. The second-best trade in Reid's history might have been trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009 for Peters, who has held down left tackle for 10 of the past 11 seasons in Philadelphia and will return to play guard in 2020. He played 16 seasons, but never led the league in any notable statistical category other than interceptions. Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. He might not make it on the first ballot, but he should make it eventually. It hasn't been for lack of trying on his part, though. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Yannick Ngakoue. Skeptics will point out that Rivers was 5-6 in the postseason and only made it as far as one AFC Championship Game, but he's also sixth in NFL history in passing yards and passing touchdowns. He shared a receivers room with four Hall-of-Famers and caught balls from a pair of Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks in Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner while playing in eight post-season games . Likely (70% to 99%): OT Jason Peters. In the running (40% to 69%): WR Odell Beckham Jr., WR Jarvis Landry. As a result, I would expect him to make it to the Hall someday. Cox has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, although only one of those seasons resulted in a first-team All-Pro nod. Just nine tight ends are enshrined, and Kelce's game leans more toward receiving than any of them. Heyward reminds me a lot of Campbell; they're prototypical five-technique ends who upped their pass-rushing performance when given more opportunities to get after the quarterback. Jones is likely to top 13,000 receiving yards and earn his eighth Pro Bowl nod this season, which should be enough to seal things for the superstar wideout. . 3 pick. His PFR Hall of Fame score of 94.2 ranks ahead of several wide receivers already in the Hall of Fame, including Michael Irvin, Art Monk, Andre Reed and Lynn Swann. Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Picking the top bounce-back candidates for all 32 NFL teams, Football historians talk about the game in a previous pandemic, Ranking the NFL's top 25 prospects: Young players who could break out in 2020, last attempted something like this column in June 2016, 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer, honor his request and trade the 25-year-old, trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009. If a receiver can enter the league and perform well right away at a boyish age, that speaks well for his future as he develops. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Carson Wentz, TE Zach Ertz, CB Darius Slay. Manning won two Super Bowls with the Giants, winning MVP both times. Gilmore wasn't on track to become a Hall of Famer before he joined the Patriots, having made one Pro Bowl across his first five seasons in Buffalo, but he has made back-to-back first-team All-Pro teams and then won Defensive Player of the Year last season. Many of the modern-era players to whom hes statistically comparable played well into their 30s. Gronk has five first-team All-Pro appearances. 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